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The atmosphere is a 3-dimensional entity. Changes in the weather
patterns at the surface and higher up in the atmosphere are
intimately related. As such, in the formulation of forecasting
strategies, surface and upper-air weather charts must be taken
as a whole if the evolutionary weather patterns are to be properly
understood. The computer model
forecast weather maps (hereafter "weather maps" for
short) produced by the Hong Kong Observatory cover East Asia
and the western Pacific, and through the depth of the troposphere
from surface to 12,000 m aloft. The horizontal resolution is
10 km. Provision of such weather maps will enable the public
to gain more insight into the driving mechanisms behind the
weather affecting Hong Kong and its neighbouring regions in
the next two to three days. It will also provide special users,
such as air transport industry and aviation enthusiasts, with
a complete set of prognostic information for reference. For
better understanding by the users, the following paragraphs
will explain some of the important and perhaps unfamiliar meteorological
terms.
Classification of Weather Maps
Weather maps can be classified basically into two types, namely
"surface" and "upper-air". The term "surface"
generally refers to the surface of the earth, implying that
different points on a surface map, e.g. a point over the ocean
or a point on a mountain ridge, may represent drastically different
altitudes. Therefore, users have to bear in mind the representative
altitudes when interpreting such maps. At different altitudes,
surface pressure is referenced commonly with respect to the
mean sea level for easy comparison of various weather systems.
For "upper-air", weather maps are usually drawn for
isobaric (i.e. equal pressure) surfaces following the practice
of conventional upper-air observations and analysis. Air density
and atmospheric pressure generally decrease as altitude increases.
As such, pressure scale could be taken to represent altitude.
The following table lists four common isobaric surfaces and
their corresponding altitudes:
|
Atmospheric Pressure
|
Approximate Altitude
|
|
200 hPa |
12,000m |
|
500 hPa |
5,600m |
|
700 hPa |
3,000m |
|
850 hPa |
1,500m |
Streamline
Streamline charts are usually drawn for upper air to display
the spatial distribution of flow directions at a particular
instance of time. As indicated by an arrow head, the flow direction
at any point along a streamline is parallel to the wind direction
at that point. The following diagrams illustrate typical flow
patterns of two common circulation systems in the northern hemisphere:
(left) in-flowing streamlines with anti-clockwise rotation,
known as cyclone; (right) out-flowing streamlines with clockwise
rotation, called anti-cyclone (and vice versa for southern hemisphere)
.
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 |
| cyclone |
anti-cyclone |
Cyclones and anti-cyclones in the upper air are
often associated with low and high pressure areas on the surface.
Low-level cyclones usually imply horizontally confluent flow
and vertically rising air resulting in inclement weather. Low-level
anti-cyclones bring in fine and stable weather due to horizontally
diffluent flow and vertically sinking air.
Vorticity
Vorticity is a physical quantity measuring the rotational sense
and speed of a fluid flow. The vorticities of cyclonic and anticyclonic
circulations take on positive and negative values respectively.
The more positive the vorticity, the stronger the cyclonic flow
is. On a 850-hPa vorticity map, overlaid with streamlines, regions
of strong positive vorticity are highlighted with colours to
demarcate higher chance of unsettled weather.
Relative Humidity
Upper-air relative humidity maps reflect the spatial distribution
of moisture content in the atmosphere. Since moisture is a pre-requisite
for cloud formation, it is more likely to find clouds at places
where relative humidity is high. Under favourable meteorological
conditions, precipitation may also occur. From a relative humidity
map at 700 hPa, one could estimate the depth and distribution
of clouds in the mid to lower atmosphere.
Geopotential Height
Geopotential, or gravitational potential relative to mean sea
level, is the energy an air parcel may potentially acquire by
virtue of its position in the gravitational field of the earth.
In the atmosphere, geopotential varies with altitudes and across
latitudes. On an isobaric surface, higher geopotential implies
higher potential energy and vice versa. Just like streams flow
according to the layout of terrain, air will flow from high
to low geopotential regions. Usually, areas of relatively high
or low geopotential correspond with areas of high pressure
or low pressure respectively. For the sake of atmospheric
analysis, geopotential is commonly converted (namely, divided
by the standard acceleration due to gravity) to geopotential
height and expressed in units of geopotential metre. To a good
approximation, geopotential height of, say, an isobaric surface
is equal to the altitude of the surface. From 500-hPa geopotential
height maps, one can depict important weather systems on the
large scale, e.g. subtropical ridge or long-wave troughs in
the westerlies. These large scale systems not only dictate how
cold or warm air intrusion proceeds, but also steer the movements
of tropical cyclones and other upper-air disturbances.
Jet Stream
Jet stream is an elongated belt of high speed air, typically
found in upper tropospheric westerly flow round the globe. A
jet stream may stretch over tens of thousands of kilometres
in length from west to east and a few hundred kilometres in
width from north to south. In contrast, its depth is only a
few kilometres. Within the core of a jet streak, flow speed
may reach 200 to 300 km per hour with possibility of multiple
maxima. Consequently, strong wind shears exist on the periphery
of a jet stream, both vertically and horizontally. In long-haul
air travel, pilots may actually choose to ride the jet streak
to save fuel and reduce flight time. On a 200-hPa map, regions
with wind speed exceeding 150 km per hour are highlighted with
colours to mark the location of jet stream.
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